Travel demand modeling has shifted from aggregated trip-based models to behavior-oriented activity-based models because daily trips are essentially driven by human activities. To analyze the sequential activity-travel decisions, deep inverse reinforcement learning (DIRL) has proven effective in learning the decision mechanisms by approximating a reward function to represent preferences and a policy function to replicate observed behavior using deep neural networks (DNNs). However, most existing research has focused on using DIRL to enhance only prediction accuracy, with limited exploration into interpreting the underlying decision mechanisms guiding sequential decision-making. To address this gap, we introduce an interpretable DIRL framework for analyzing activity-travel decision processes, bridging the gap between data-driven machine learning and theory-driven behavioral models. Our proposed framework adapts an adversarial IRL approach to infer the reward and policy functions of activity-travel behavior. The policy function is interpreted through a surrogate interpretable model based on choice probabilities from the policy function, while the reward function is interpreted by deriving both short-term rewards and long-term returns for various activity-travel patterns. Our analysis of real-world travel survey data reveals promising results in two key areas: (i) behavioral pattern insights from the policy function, highlighting critical factors in decision-making and variations among socio-demographic groups, and (ii) behavioral preference insights from the reward function, indicating the utility individuals gain from specific activity sequences.

Network-wide traffic flow, which captures dynamic traffic volume on each link of a general network, is fundamental to smart mobility applications. However, the observed traffic flow from sensors is usually limited across the entire network due to the associated high installation and maintenance costs. To address this issue, existing research uses various supplementary data sources to compensate for insufficient sensor coverage and estimate the unobserved traffic flow. Although these studies have shown promising results, the inconsistent availability and quality of supplementary data across cities make their methods typically face a trade-off challenge between accuracy and generality. In this research, we first time advocate using the Global Open Multi-Source (GOMS) data within an advanced deep learning framework to break the trade-off. The GOMS data primarily encompass geographical and demographic information, including road topology, building footprints, and population density, which can be consistently collected across cities. More importantly, these GOMS data are either causes or consequences of transportation activities, thereby creating opportunities for accurate network-wide flow estimation. Furthermore, we use map images to represent GOMS data, instead of traditional tabular formats, to capture richer and more comprehensive geographical and demographic information. To address multi-source data fusion, we develop an attention-based graph neural network that effectively extracts and synthesizes information from GOMS maps while simultaneously capturing spatiotemporal traffic dynamics from observed traffic data. A large-scale case study across 15 cities in Europe and North America was conducted. The results demonstrate stable and satisfactory estimation accuracy across these cities, which suggests that the trade-off challenge can be successfully addressed using our approach.

Data mining in transportation networks (DMTNs) refers to using diverse types of spatio-temporal data for various transportation tasks, including pattern analysis, traffic prediction, and traffic controls. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are essential in many DMTN problems due to their capability to represent spatial correlations between entities. Between 2016 and 2024, the notable applications of GNNs in DMTNs have extended to multiple fields such as traffic prediction and operation. However, existing reviews have primarily focused on traffic prediction tasks. To fill this gap, this study provides a timely and insightful summary of GNNs in DMTNs, highlighting new progress in prediction and operation from academic and industry perspectives since 2023. First, we present and analyze various DMTN problems, followed by classical and recent GNN models. Second, we delve into key works in three areas: (1) traffic prediction, (2) traffic operation, and (3) industry involvement, such as Google Maps, Amap, and Baidu Maps. Along these directions, we discuss new research opportunities based on the significance of transportation problems and data availability. Finally, we compile resources such as data, code, and other learning materials to foster interdisciplinary communication. This review, driven by recent trends in GNNs in DMTN studies since 2023, could democratize abundant datasets and efficient GNN methods for various transportation problems including prediction and operation.

Understanding individual travel behaviors is critical for developing efficient and sustainable transportation systems. Travel behavioral analysis aims to capture the decision-making process of individual travel execution, including travel route choice, travel mode choice, departure time choice, and trip purpose. Among these choices, modeling route choice not only helps analyze and understand travelers' behaviors, but also constitutes the essential part of traffic assignment methods [1]. Specifically, it enables the evaluation of travelers' perceptions of route characteristics, the forecasting of behavior in hypothetical scenarios, the prediction of future traffic dynamics on transportation networks, and the understanding of travelers' responses to travel information. Real-world route choice is complex because of the inherent difficulties in accurately representing human behavior, travelers' limited knowledge of network composition, uncertainties in perceptions of route characteristics, and the lack of precise information about travelers' preferences [1]. To overcome these limitations, DTD traffic dynamics have attracted significant attention since they focus on drivers' dynamic shifts in route choices and the evolution of traffic flow over time, rather than merely static equilibrium states. DTD models are flexible to incorporate diverse behavioral rules such as forecasting [2, 3], bounded rationality [4, 5], decision-making based on prospects [6, 7], marginal utility effects [8, 9], and social interactions [10]. Despite these advantages identified in [11] and [12], DTD models still struggle to accurately reflect the observed fluctuations in traffic dynamics, particularly the persistent deviations around User Equilibrium (UE) noted in empirical studies [13, 14, 15]. To better understand traffic dynamics, Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) offers a promising alternative.

Modular autonomous vehicles (MAVs) represent a transformative paradigm in the rapidly advancing field of autonomous vehicle technology. The integration of modularity offers numerous advantages, poised to reshape urban mobility systems and foster innovation in this emerging domain. Although publications on MAVs have only gained traction in the past five years, these pioneering efforts are critical for envisioning the future of modular mobility. This work provides a comprehensive review of industry and academic contributions to MAV development up to 2024, encompassing conceptualization, design, and applications in both passenger and logistics transport. The review systematically defines MAVs and outlines their technical framework, highlighting groundbreaking efforts in vehicular conceptualization, system design, and business models by the automotive industry and emerging mobility service providers. It also synthesizes academic research on key topics, including passenger and logistics transport, and their integration within future mobility ecosystems. The review concludes by identifying challenges, summarizing the current state of the art, and proposing future research directions to advance the development of modular autonomous mobility systems.

Accurately estimating spatiotemporal traffic states on freeways is a significant challenge due to limited sensor deployment and potential data corruption. In this study, we propose an efficient and robust low-rank model for precise spatiotemporal traffic speed state estimation (TSE) using lowpenetration vehicle trajectory data. Leveraging traffic wave priors, an oblique grid-based matrix is first designed to transform the inherent dependencies of spatiotemporal traffic states into the algebraic low-rankness of a matrix. Then, with the enhanced traffic state low-rankness in the oblique matrix, a low-rank matrix completion method is tailored to explicitly capture spatiotemporal traffic propagation characteristics and precisely reconstruct traffic states. In addition, an anomaly-tolerant module based on a sparse matrix is developed to accommodate corrupted data input and thereby improve the TSE model robustness. Notably, driven by the understanding of traffic waves, the computational complexity of the proposed efficient method is only correlated with the problem size itself, not with dataset size and hyperparameter selection prevalent in existing studies. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness, robustness, and efficiency of the proposed model. The performance of the proposed method achieves up to a 12% improvement in Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) in the TSE scenarios and an 18% improvement in RMSE in the robust TSE scenarios, and it runs more than 20 times faster than the state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods.

I am honoured to be chairing the delivery of the inaugural International Scientific Report on Advanced AI Safety. I am proud to publish this interim report which is the culmination of huge efforts by many experts over the six months since the work was commissioned at the Bletchley Park AI Safety Summit in November 2023. We know that advanced AI is developing very rapidly, and that there is considerable uncertainty over how these advanced AI systems might affect how we live and work in the future. AI has tremendous potential to change our lives for the better, but it also poses risks of harm. That is why having this thorough analysis of the available scientific literature and expert opinion is essential. The more we know, the better equipped we are to shape our collective destiny.

Non-recurrent conditions caused by incidents are different from recurrent conditions that follow periodic patterns. Existing traffic speed prediction studies are incident-agnostic and use one single model to learn all possible patterns from these drastically diverse conditions. This study proposes a novel Mixture of Experts (MoE) model to improve traffic speed prediction under two separate conditions, recurrent and non-recurrent (i.e., with and without incidents). The MoE leverages separate recurrent and non-recurrent expert models (Temporal Fusion Transformers) to capture the distinct patterns of each traffic condition. Additionally, we propose a training pipeline for non-recurrent models to remedy the limited data issues. To train our model, multi-source datasets, including traffic speed, incident reports, and weather data, are integrated and processed to be informative features. Evaluations on a real road network demonstrate that the MoE achieves lower errors compared to other benchmark algorithms. The model predictions are interpreted in terms of temporal dependencies and variable importance in each condition separately to shed light on the differences between recurrent and non-recurrent conditions.

Microscopic traffic simulations are used to evaluate the impact of infrastructure modifications and evolving vehicle technologies, such as connected and automated driving. Simulated vehicles are controlled via car-following, lane-changing and junction models, which are designed to imitate human driving behavior. However, physics-based car-following models (CFMs) cannot fully replicate measured vehicle trajectories. Therefore, we present model extensions for the Intelligent Driver Model (IDM), of which some are already included in the Extended Intelligent Driver Model (EIDM), to improve calibration and validation results. They consist of equations based on vehicle dynamics and drive off procedures. In addition, parameter selection plays a decisive role. Thus, we introduce a framework to calibrate CFMs using drone data captured at a signalized intersection in Stuttgart, Germany. We compare the calibration error of the Krauss Model with the IDM and EIDM. In this setup, the EIDM achieves a 17.78 % lower mean error than the IDM, based on the distance difference between real world and simulated vehicles. Adding vehicle dynamics equations to the EIDM further improves the results by an additional 18.97 %. The calibrated vehicle-driver combinations are then investigated by simulating the traffic in three different scenarios: at the original intersection, in a closed loop and in a stop-and-go wave. The data shows that the improved calibration process of individual vehicles, openly available at https://www.github.com/stepeos/pycarmodel_calibration, also provides more accurate macroscopic results.

System optimal traffic routing can mitigate congestion by assigning routes for a portion of vehicles so that the total travel time of all vehicles in the transportation system can be reduced. However, achieving real-time optimal routing poses challenges due to uncertain demands and unknown system dynamics, particularly in expansive transportation networks. While physics model-based methods are sensitive to uncertainties and model mismatches, model-free reinforcement learning struggles with learning inefficiencies and interpretability issues. Our paper presents TransRL, a novel algorithm that integrates reinforcement learning with physics models for enhanced performance, reliability, and interpretability. TransRL begins by establishing a deterministic policy grounded in physics models, from which it learns from and is guided by a differentiable and stochastic teacher policy. During training, TransRL aims to maximize cumulative rewards while minimizing the Kullback Leibler (KL) divergence between the current policy and the teacher policy. This approach enables TransRL to simultaneously leverage interactions with the environment and insights from physics models. We conduct experiments on three transportation networks with up to hundreds of links. The results demonstrate TransRL's superiority over traffic model-based methods for being adaptive and learning from the actual network data. By leveraging the information from physics models, TransRL consistently outperforms state-of-the-art reinforcement learning algorithms such as proximal policy optimization (PPO) and soft actor critic (SAC). Moreover, TransRL's actions exhibit higher reliability and interpretability compared to baseline reinforcement learning approaches like PPO and SAC.